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You are here: Home / A Global Model for Forecasting Political Instability

A Global Model for Forecasting Political Instability

Jack A. Goldstone, Robert H. Bates, David L. Epstein, Ted Robert Gurr, Michael B. Lustik, Monty G. Marshall, Jay Ulfelder, and Mark Woodward

Supporting Data and Documentation

American Journal of Political Science 50.1; 190-208 (January 2010)

The PITF is funded by the Central Intelligence Agency. The PITF website is hosted by hosted by the Center for Global Policy at George Mason University and is provided as a public service. The views expressed herein are those of the Task Force and its individual members, and do not represent the views of the University or the US Government.

DownloadPITF Global Forecasting Model Replication Script.do

DownloadPITF Global Model Replication Data 121709.dta

DownloadAJPS Table 1 and 3 input data- Set A2

DownloadAJPS Table 1 and 3 input data- Set B2

DownloadAJPS Table 1 and 3 input data- Set C2

DownloadTable 1 — Hits and misses tables_Global foresting model

DownloadTable 3 — Hits and misses tables_Fearon_Laitin model

DownloadTable 3 — Hits and misses tables_Global foresting model with the Same Data Set as Fearon and Laitin Model

Contact Information

Jack Goldstone
Virginia E. and John T. Hazel, Jr. Professor; Director, Center for the Study of Social Change, Institutions and Policy (SCIP),
Schar School of Policy and Government
George Mason University
3351 North Fairfax Drive, MS 3B1
Arlington, VA 22201
Phone: (703) 993-1409
Fax: (703) 993-8215

The Director's Blog: NewPopulationBomb

Email: jgoldsto@gmu.edu

 

Schar School of Policy and Government
Center for the Study of Social Change, Institutions and Policy (SCIP)

3351 North Fairfax Drive, Arlington VA 22201