The US Government-sponsored Political Instability Task Force presented many of its Phase V findings during a panel at the 2005 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association in Washington, DC, September 3, 2005. Copies of the three papers presented at the meeting are posted here in PDF format.
The PITF is funded by the Central Intelligence Agency. The PITF website is hosted by hosted by the Center for Global Policy at George Mason University and is provided as a public service. The views expressed herein are those of the Task Force and its individual members, and do not represent the views of the University or the US Government.
| Download | A Global Forecasting Model of Political Instability Jack A. Goldstone, Robert Bates, Ted Robert Gurr, Michael Lustik, Monty G. Marshall, Jay Ulfelder, and Mark Woodward |
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| Download | Forecasting Instability: Are Ethnic War and Muslim Country Models Different? Ted Robert Gurr, Mark Woodward, and Monty G. Marshall |
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| Download | Modeling Transitions to and from Democracy Jay Ulfelder and Michael LustikA revised version of this paper appeared in the June 2007 issue of the journal Democratization, copies can be ordered from the publisher. Click here. |
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